|
|
|
|
|
Young-Min Yang, Bin Wang and Juan Li
It has been an outstanding challenge for global climate models to simulate and predict East Asia summer monsoon (EASM) rainfall. This study evaluated the dynamical hindcast skills with the newly developed Nanjing University of Information Science and Tec...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Feifei He, Qinjuan Wan, Yongqiang Wang, Jiang Wu, Xiaoqi Zhang and Yu Feng
Accurately predicting hydrological runoff is crucial for water resource allocation and power station scheduling. However, there is no perfect model that can accurately predict future runoff. In this paper, a daily runoff prediction method with a seasonal...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Giuseppe Giunta, Alessandro Ceppi and Raffaele Salerno
Earth system predictions, from sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales, remain a challenging task, and the representation of predictability sources on seasonal timescales is a complex work. Nonetheless, advances in technology and science have been making con...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yajun Wang, Jianping Zhu and Renke Kang
Seasonal?trend-decomposed transformer has empowered long-term time series forecasting via capturing global temporal dependencies (e.g., period-based dependencies) in disentangled temporal patterns. However, existing methods design various auto-correlatio...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Richard Malm, Rikard Hellgren and Jonas Enzell
Dams located in cold areas are subjected to large seasonal temperature variations and many concrete dams have cracked as a result. In the 14th International Commission on Large Dams (ICOLD) Benchmark Workshop, a case study was presented where contributor...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sun-Hee Shin and Ja-Yeon Moon
The prediction skill for the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) has been analyzed, using the observations and different climate models that participate in the APEC Climate Center (APCC) multi-model ensemble (MME) seasonal forecast. The authors first examin...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Iqbal Hossain, Rijwana Esha and Monzur Alam Imteaz
The objective of this research is the assessment of the efficiency of a non-linear regression technique in predicting long-term seasonal rainfall. The non-linear models were developed using the lagged (past) values of the climate drivers, which have a si...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Scott Curtis
The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is an important intraseasonal climate signal which circles the global tropics, but also impacts extratropical weather regimes. Few studies have investigated whether the MJO is a source of regional seasonal climate pred...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yuiko Ichikawa and Masaru Inatsu
This study proposes an alternative method to estimate the potential predictability without assuming the perfect model. A theoretical consideration relates a maximum possible value of the initial-value error to the covariance between analysis and bias-cor...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sankar Nath
Pág. 271 - 281
A neural network (NN) model is developed to predict the seasonal number of tropical cyclones (TCs) formed over the north Indian Ocean during the post-monsoon season (October, November, December). The frequency of TCs and the large scale climate variables...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
K. YUREKLI,M. TAGHI SATTARI,A. S. ANLI,M. A. HINIS
This study examines the seasonal regional drought analysis based on the standardized precipitation index (SPI) method and the decision tree technique which is a data-mining approach. The cumulative rainfall series for five reference periods (four seasona...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
M.H GONZÁLEZ,N.M. SKANSI,F. LOSANO
The aim of this study is to detect the possible causes of the May-to-July rainfall (MJJ) over the Limay and Neuquén river basins. In order to establish the existence of previous circulation patterns associated with interannual rainfall variability, the m...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
JULIAN ADEM,V. MANUEL MENDOZA,A. RUÍZ,E. E. VILLANUEVA URRUTIA,RENÉ GARDUÑO
The Adem thermodynamic climate model (ATCM) has been adapted to carry out three-month extended and seasonal numerical weather predictions. The model uses the Northern Hemisphere NMC polar stereographic grid with 1977 points and a grid distance of 408....
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Keqing Li, Changyong Liang, Wenxing Lu, Chu Li, Shuping Zhao and Binyou Wang
The accurate prediction of tourist flow is essential to appropriately prepare tourist attractions and inform the decisions of tourism companies. However, tourist flow in scenic spots is a dynamic trend with daily changes, and specialized methods are nece...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Chih-Chiang Wei and Cheng-Shu Chiang
In recent years, Taiwan has actively pursued the development of renewable energy, with offshore wind power assessments indicating that 80% of the world?s best wind fields are located in the western seas of Taiwan. The aim of this study is to maximize off...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Juanjuan Feng, Jia Li, Wenjie Zhong, Junhui Wu, Zhiqiang Li, Lingshuai Kong and Lei Guo
Arctic sea ice prediction is of great practical significance in facilitating Arctic route planning, optimizing fisheries management, and advancing the field of sea ice dynamics research. While various deep learning models have been developed for sea ice ...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hugo Carrão, Gustavo Naumann, Emanuel Dutra, Christophe Lavaysse and Paulo Barbosa
Meaningful seasonal prediction of drought conditions is key information for end-users and water managers, particularly in Latin America where crop and livestock production are key for many regional economies. However, there are still not many studies of ...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pushp Raj Tiwari,Sarat Chandra Kar,Uma Charan Mohanty,Sagnik Dey,Palash Sinha,P. V. S. Raju,M. S. Shekhar
Pág. 129 - 142
Climate prediction over the Western Himalaya is a challenging task due to the highly variable altitude and orientation of orographic barriers. Surface characteristics also play a vital role in climate simulations and need appropriate representation in th...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Suman Maity, Manabottam Mandal, Sridhara Nayak, Rajeev Bhatla
Pág. 287 - 309
The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is driven by organized large-scale convection; hence, its simulation is expected to depend on an appropriate representation of cumulus convection in the model. In the present study, the performance of different cumulus par...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Yang Yang, Yan Zhu, Wei Mao, Heng Dai, Ming Ye, Jingwei Wu and Jinzhong Yang
The suitable groundwater exploitation scheme in freezing-thawing agricultural areas under the well-canal conjunctive irrigation conditions is confronted with two major challenges, which are computationally expensive local grid refinements along wells, an...
ver más
|
|
|
|
|
|