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Ilsé Botha
AbstractFinancial markets play a significant role in an emerging market economy such as South Africa, especially after financial liberalisation. Financial liberalisation causes economies to interrelate across borders and between different sectors. The im...
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Wawan Kurniawan, Kadir Kadir
Pág. 182 - 193
As one of essential indicators in economy, inflation rate can be determined by several factors. One of these factors is price index other than CPI, representing price change, other at consumer level. Many studies have examined the effect of price indices...
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Knut Lehre Seip and Dan Zhang
Previous studies have shown that the treasury yield curve, T, forecasts upcoming recessions when it obtains a negative value. In this paper, we try to improve the yield curve model while keeping its parsimony. First, we show that adding the federal funds...
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Navid Ahmadi, Mohsen Shahandashti
Pág. 85 - 108
The majority of policymakers believe that investments in construction infrastructure would boost the economy of the United States (U.S.). They also assume that construction investment in infrastructure has similar impact on the economies of different U.S...
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Navid Ahmadi, Mohsen Shahandashti
Pág. 85 - 108
The majority of policymakers believe that investments in construction infrastructure would boost the economy of the United States (U.S.). They also assume that construction investment in infrastructure has similar impact on the economies of different U.S...
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Joseph J. French
We investigated the differential impacts of a new Twitter-based Market Uncertainty index (TMU) and variables for Bitcoin before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Results showed that TMU is a leading indicator of Bitcoin returns only during the pandemic, ...
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George A. Waters
One proxy of price rationing of credit is an aggregation of information on interest rates, while loan officer survey data measures quantity rationing of credit, meaning some borrowers are denied loans. The latter Granger causes real GDP but the former do...
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E. Smit
AbstractIn this article a leading indicator of the South African business cycle is proposed which combines the traditional quantitative data inputs with qualitative data. The integration is achieved via the Kalman filter technique. It is shown that this ...
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Ahmed Shoukry Rashad
Tourism plays an important economic role for many economies and after the COVID-19 pandemic, accurate tourism forecasting become critical for policymakers in tourism-dependent economies. This paper extends the growing literature on the use of internet se...
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Grigoris Giannarakis,Christos Lemonakis,Asterios Sormas,Christos Georganakis
Pág. 155 - 160
The predictability of stock returns by investors has been a crucial issue updating over the time. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of economic leading indicator of Baltic Dry Index (BDI) on stock returns of socially responsible stock in...
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Jeerawadee Pumjaroen,Preecha Vichitthamaros,Yuthana Sethapramote
Pág. 47 - 57
The study proposes a partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) evaluating the relationship among composite leading indices (CLIs) to forecast the economic cycle (EC) instead of using only individual CLI. The model of quarterly data in ...
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Ahmed Hussein Alrefai
Pág. 127 - 131
There have been great debate in the literature on the impact of stock market on the economic performance, as some believe that higher stock prices increase the wealth of people and stimulate further investment leading to higher consumption and investment...
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Rama Krishna Yelamanchili
Pág. 81 - 86
In this paper we examine the co-movement and casual relationship between economic indicators and automobile index. We postulate that leading and coincident economic indicators will help explain, cause, and predict movements in automobile index. To test o...
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Xiaoyan Chen, Dong Bai, Chunlei Song, Yiyong Zhou and Xiuyun Cao
To improve the water quality of Lake Yuehu, a water diversion from the Han River was conducted in July 2008. However, an unexpected Microcystis bloom occurred in the lake after water introduction. Water and sediment samples were collected from Lake Yuehu...
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Dongfeng Chang, Ryan S. Mattson and Biyan Tang
The predictive power of the yield curve slope, or the yield spread is well established in the United States (US) and European Union (EU) countries since 1998. However, there exists a gap in the literature on the predictive power of the yield spread on th...
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Kaan Celebi and Michaela Hönig
Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more dif...
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Arbana Sahiti, Skender Ahmeti, Muhamet Aliu
Pág. 35 - 43
Banks between the financial services they provide play significant roles in the country's economy The importance of banks in Kosovo is one of the essential catalysts in economic growth. The banking industry based on efficiency and performance industryis ...
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Alovsat G. ALIYEV
Pág. 227 - 245
This article is dedicated to methodological aspects of estimation of ICT-based economic development. Information economy development and formation trends in leading foreign countries are analyzed. A comparative analysis of the strategies and trends that ...
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Selim Koray Demirel,Seyfettin Artan
Pág. 417 - 424
Economic confidence is an important tool in predicting macroeconomic changes. In this study, causality relationships between the confidence level and the fundamental macroeconomic indicators are analyzed using panel data analysis for 13 European Union co...
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Mustafa SIT, Ahmet SIT
Pág. 43 - 60
In this study, the current status of knowledge economy in Turkey has been examined and its contribution to employment in Turkey economy has been investigated. As a result, it was determined that R&D spending a leading indicator of the knowledge economy h...
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